diff --git a/homeassistant/components/recorder/statistics.py b/homeassistant/components/recorder/statistics.py
index 2f93a8a833e..b117556b0af 100644
--- a/homeassistant/components/recorder/statistics.py
+++ b/homeassistant/components/recorder/statistics.py
@@ -2527,6 +2527,11 @@ def _validate_db_schema_utf8(
     return schema_errors
 
 
+def _get_future_year() -> int:
+    """Get a year in the future."""
+    return datetime.now().year + 1
+
+
 def _validate_db_schema(
     hass: HomeAssistant, instance: Recorder, session_maker: Callable[[], Session]
 ) -> set[str]:
@@ -2544,9 +2549,16 @@ def _validate_db_schema(
     # This number can't be accurately represented as a 32-bit float
     precise_number = 1.000000000000001
     # This time can't be accurately represented unless datetimes have µs precision
-    precise_time = datetime(2020, 10, 6, microsecond=1, tzinfo=dt_util.UTC)
-
-    start_time = datetime(2020, 10, 6, tzinfo=dt_util.UTC)
+    #
+    # We want to insert statistics for a time in the future, in case they
+    # have conflicting metadata_id's with existing statistics that were
+    # never cleaned up. By inserting in the future, we can be sure that
+    # that by selecting the last inserted row, we will get the one we
+    # just inserted.
+    #
+    future_year = _get_future_year()
+    precise_time = datetime(future_year, 10, 6, microsecond=1, tzinfo=dt_util.UTC)
+    start_time = datetime(future_year, 10, 6, tzinfo=dt_util.UTC)
     statistic_id = f"{DOMAIN}.db_test"
 
     metadata: StatisticMetaData = {
@@ -2614,9 +2626,15 @@ def _validate_db_schema(
                     )
                     continue
 
+                # We want to look at the last inserted row to make sure there
+                # is not previous garbage data in the table that would cause
+                # the test to produce an incorrect result. To achieve this,
+                # we inserted a row in the future, and now we select the last
+                # inserted row back.
+                last_stored_statistic = stored_statistic[-1]
                 check_columns(
                     schema_errors,
-                    stored_statistic[0],
+                    last_stored_statistic,
                     statistics,
                     ("max", "mean", "min", "state", "sum"),
                     table.__tablename__,
@@ -2625,7 +2643,7 @@ def _validate_db_schema(
                 assert statistics["last_reset"]
                 check_columns(
                     schema_errors,
-                    stored_statistic[0],
+                    last_stored_statistic,
                     {
                         "last_reset": datetime_to_timestamp_or_none(
                             statistics["last_reset"]
diff --git a/tests/components/recorder/test_statistics.py b/tests/components/recorder/test_statistics.py
index 4863c6c0547..ad4d0de410e 100644
--- a/tests/components/recorder/test_statistics.py
+++ b/tests/components/recorder/test_statistics.py
@@ -26,6 +26,7 @@ from homeassistant.components.recorder.statistics import (
     _generate_max_mean_min_statistic_in_sub_period_stmt,
     _generate_statistics_at_time_stmt,
     _generate_statistics_during_period_stmt,
+    _get_future_year,
     _statistics_during_period_with_session,
     async_add_external_statistics,
     async_import_statistics,
@@ -1633,7 +1634,8 @@ async def test_validate_db_schema_fix_float_issue(
     orig_error = MagicMock()
     orig_error.args = [1366]
     precise_number = 1.000000000000001
-    precise_time = datetime(2020, 10, 6, microsecond=1, tzinfo=dt_util.UTC)
+    fixed_future_year = _get_future_year()
+    precise_time = datetime(fixed_future_year, 10, 6, microsecond=1, tzinfo=dt_util.UTC)
     statistics = {
         "recorder.db_test": [
             {
@@ -1653,6 +1655,9 @@ async def test_validate_db_schema_fix_float_issue(
 
     with patch(
         "homeassistant.components.recorder.core.Recorder.dialect_name", db_engine
+    ), patch(
+        "homeassistant.components.recorder.statistics._get_future_year",
+        return_value=fixed_future_year,
     ), patch(
         "homeassistant.components.recorder.statistics._statistics_during_period_with_session",
         side_effect=fake_statistics,